A 10-year experience with anastomotic leaks in upper gastrointestinal surgery-Retrospective cohort study

Anastomotic leak (AL) in upper gastrointestinal (UGI) surgery continues to be a diagnostic challenge. We seek to identify clinical parameters that predict AL and examine the effectiveness of investigations in evaluating AL following UGI surgeries.

592 patients underwent UGI surgeries with an anastomosis between January 2011 and January 2021. Data on patient characteristics, surgery, postoperative investigations and outcomes were prospectively collected and analysed.

The overall occurrence of AL was 6.4 %. Tachycardia >120 BPM (OR 6.959, 95 % CI 1.856-26.100, p = 0.004) and leukocyte count >19 × 10⁹/L (OR 3.327, 95 % CI 1.009-10.967, p = 0.048) were independent predictors of AL. On multivariate analysis, patients whose anastomosis was deemed high risk and had pre-emptive investigation done postoperatively to exclude a leak were less likely to require intervention and were more likely to be managed conservatively (66.7 % vs 14.3 %, p = 0.025). Methylene blue test, oral contrast study and Computed Tomography scan with intravenous and oral contrast had 50.0 %, 20.0 % and 9.1 % false negative results, while esophagogastroduodenoscopy had none. There was no misdiagnosed AL when more than 1 investigation (n = 15, 39.5 %) were performed.

Our study demonstrates that the presence of a triad including desaturation, tachycardia and leucocytosis predicts for AL following UGI surgery and for confirmation of a leak, evaluation with 2 or more investigation is needed. A practice of evaluating high risk anastomosis prior to commencement of feeding decreased the need for surgical intervention and improves success of conservative treatment.