AI-Enhanced Predictive Modeling for Identifying Depression and Delirium in Cardiovascular Patients Scheduled for

Karina Nowakowska1, Antonis Sakellarios2,3, Jakub Kaźmierski1

  • 1Department of Old Age Psychiatry and Psychotic Disorders, Medical University of Lodz, 90-419 Lodz, Poland.

PubMed

Insights

Cardiovascular disease patients with depression can be identified with 62% accuracy using an AI pipeline that analyzes biomarkers like sRAGE. This approach aids early intervention for improved cardiac patient care.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Psychiatry
  • Artificial Intelligence

Background:

  • A significant association exists between cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mental health, with approximately one-third of CVD patients experiencing depression.
  • This comorbidity elevates the risk of cardiac complications and mortality, independent of traditional risk factors.
  • Early identification and intervention for depression in CVD patients are crucial for improving outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate a straightforward, explainable, and data-driven pipeline for predicting depression in patients with cardiovascular disease.
  • To investigate the correlation between specific biomarkers and depression in the context of CVD.
  • To leverage machine learning for enhanced diagnostic capabilities in cardiac care.

Main Methods:

  • A cohort of 224 patients scheduled for elective coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery was evaluated.
  • Psychiatric evaluations were conducted pre-surgery to diagnose major depressive disorder (MDD) using DSM-5 criteria.
  • An explainable AI pipeline, incorporating AdaBoost, random forest, and XGBoost algorithms, was trained and tested on curated patient data using stratified cross-validation.

Main Results:

  • A significant correlation was found between the soluble form of receptor for advanced glycation end products (sRAGE) biomarker and depression (r = 0.32, p = 0.038).
  • The random forest classifier achieved the highest accuracy (0.62), sensitivity (0.71), specificity (0.53), and area under the curve (0.67) in predicting depression.
  • The AI pipeline demonstrated a 62% accuracy rate in predicting depression among CVD patients.

Conclusions:

  • Depression in cardiovascular disease patients, especially those with elevated sRAGE levels, can be predicted with significant accuracy using an AI-driven approach.
  • This study validates the utility of explainable AI in identifying mental health comorbidities in cardiac patients.
  • The developed pipeline offers a promising tool for early detection and intervention, potentially transforming care strategies for this vulnerable population.