Intracranial aneurysm rupture risk in northern China: a retrospective case-control study

Rupture of intracranial aneurysms (IAs) can cause subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), which leads to severe neurological dysfunction and even death. Exploring the risk factors for IA rupture and taking preventive measures accordingly can reduce or prevent the occurrence of SAH. Currently, there is still no consensus on the detrimental factors for IA rupture. Thus, our study aimed to investigate the risk factors of IA rupture in a population of northern China.

We systematically collected the demographic features, medical history, and imaging data of aneurysms from patients with ruptured and unruptured IAs (UIAs) who attended the Department of Neurosurgery at the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University from 2014 to 2019. All cases had been diagnosed by digital subtraction angiography. We excluded patients with SAH resulting from injuries, as well as those with vascular dissection and incomplete data. Finally, 1,214 patients including 616 with ruptured IAs and 598 with UIAs were collected for further analysis. A case-control study was conducted, in which multivariable logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors for IA rupture.

Our multivariable logistic regression showed that anterior cerebral artery [odds ratio (OR) =2.413; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.235-4.718], anterior communicating artery (OR =3.952; 95% CI: 2.601-6.006), posterior communicating artery (OR =2.385; 95% CI: 1.790-3.177), and anterior circulation branches (OR =3.493; 95% CI: 1.422-8.581) were risk factors for IA rupture, whereas patients with a history of cerebral infarction (OR =0.395; 95% CI: 0.247-0.631) and those with IAs located in the internal carotid artery (OR =0.403; 95% CI: 0.292-0.557) were less likely to have IA rupture.

IAs at specific locations are prone to rupture. These IAs should be paid particular attention and preventive measures should be taken to reduce or prevent their rupture.