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An Interpretable Approach with Explainable AI for Heart Stroke Prediction
Parvathaneni Naga Srinivasu1,2, Uddagiri Sirisha2, Kotte Sandeep3
1Department of Teleinformatics Engineering, Federal University of Ceará, Fortaleza 60455-970, Brazil.
Insights
This study presents an interpretable Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model for accurate heart stroke prediction. Using explainable AI, the model achieves 95% accuracy, enhancing clinical decision-making for heart disease.
Area of Science:
- Medical Informatics
- Machine Learning in Healthcare
- Artificial Intelligence for Disease Prediction
Background:
- Heart strokes pose a significant global health challenge.
- Existing machine learning (ML) models for stroke prediction often lack clinical interpretability.
- Healthcare professionals require understandable AI tools for critical decision-making.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an effective and interpretable heart stroke prediction model using explainable AI (XAI).
- To address the gap between complex ML models and their clinical applicability.
- To provide a reliable and understandable tool for healthcare practitioners.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Stroke Prediction Dataset with 11 attributes.
- Implemented data preprocessing techniques: resampling, data leakage prevention, and feature selection.
- Employed explainable AI methods: permutation importance and LIME for model interpretability.
Main Results:
- Achieved an outstanding accuracy rate of 95% for heart stroke prediction.
- Permutation importance provided global feature insights.
- LIME offered local, instance-specific explanations, enhancing Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model comprehension.
Conclusions:
- The developed ANN model offers a reliable and interpretable solution for heart stroke prediction.
- Explainable AI techniques significantly improve the clinical utility of predictive models.
- This approach can enhance healthcare decision-making and patient outcomes in cardiovascular health.
Abstract:
Heart strokes are a significant global health concern, profoundly affecting the wellbeing of the population. Many research endeavors have focused on developing predictive models for heart strokes using ML and DL techniques. Nevertheless, prior studies have often failed to bridge the gap between complex ML models and their interpretability in clinical contexts, leaving healthcare professionals hesitant to embrace them for critical decision-making. This research introduces a meticulously designed, effective, and easily interpretable approach for heart stroke prediction, empowered by explainable AI techniques. Our contributions include a meticulously designed model, incorporating pivotal techniques such as resampling, data leakage prevention, feature selection, and emphasizing the model's comprehensibility for healthcare practitioners. This multifaceted approach holds the potential to significantly impact the field of healthcare by offering a reliable and understandable tool for heart stroke prediction. In our research, we harnessed the potential of the Stroke Prediction Dataset, a valuable resource containing 11 distinct attributes. Applying these techniques, including model interpretability measures such as permutation importance and explainability methods like LIME, has achieved impressive results. While permutation importance provides insights into feature importance globally, LIME complements this by offering local and instance-specific explanations. Together, they contribute to a comprehensive understanding of the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model. The combination of these techniques not only aids in understanding the features that drive overall model performance but also helps in interpreting and validating individual predictions. The ANN model has achieved an outstanding accuracy rate of 95%.
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