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Updated: Jul 5, 2025

Implementation of a Real-Time Psychosis Risk Detection and Alerting System Based on Electronic Health Records using CogStack
Published on: May 15, 2020
Using Natural Language Processing to Predict Risk in Electronic Health Records.
Duy Van Le1, James Montgomery1, Kenneth Kirkby2
1School of ICT, University of Tasmania, Australia.
This study enhances risk prediction in forensic psychiatry using improved natural language processing (NLP) on electronic health records (EHRs). The new method analyzes social interactions to better understand patient behavior and emotions, improving prediction accuracy.
Area of Science:
- Forensic Psychiatry
- Clinical Psychology
- Natural Language Processing
Background:
- Electronic health records (EHRs) contain valuable clinical narratives on patient behaviors and emotions.
- This rich data from forensic psychiatric centers has been underutilized for risk prediction.
- Previous studies used natural language processing (NLP) to identify symptoms from free-text records for risk prediction, but with limitations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce an improved NLP approach for enhanced risk prediction in forensic psychiatric settings.
- To extract additional behavioral and emotional information from clinical narratives by incorporating a social interaction component.
- To improve the performance of machine-learning models for risk prediction using this enhanced data.
Main Methods:
- Creation of four dictionaries using the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Unified Medical Language System, sentiment analysis, and high-frequency word corpora.
- Development of an improved NLP approach incorporating a social interaction component to analyze patient behavioral and emotional states.
- Application of a machine-learning model utilizing the extracted social interaction features to enhance risk prediction.
Main Results:
- Keyword-based models alone showed limited predictive power.
- The improved NLP approach, incorporating social interactions, extracted additional relevant information from clinical narratives.
- The enhanced data significantly improved the performance of the machine-learning model in risk prediction.
Conclusions:
- An improved NLP approach with a social interaction component can effectively enhance risk prediction in forensic psychiatry.
- Analyzing social interactions within clinical narratives provides valuable insights beyond simple keyword identification.
- This methodology offers a promising avenue for more accurate risk assessment in psychiatric care.
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