Jove
Visualize
Contact Us

Related Concept Videos

Regression Toward the Mean01:52

Regression Toward the Mean

6.3K
Regression toward the mean (“RTM”) is a phenomenon in which extremely high or low values—for example, and individual’s blood pressure at a particular moment—appear closer to a group’s average upon remeasuring. Although this statistical peculiarity is the result of random error and chance, it has been problematic across various medical, scientific, financial and psychological applications. In particular, RTM, if not taken into account, can interfere when...
6.3K
Fundamental Attribution Error01:14

Fundamental Attribution Error

12.9K
According to some social psychologists, people tend to overemphasize internal factors as explanations—or attributions—for the behavior of other people. They tend to assume that the behavior of another person is a trait of that person, and to underestimate the power of the situation on the behavior of others. They tend to fail to recognize when the behavior of another is due to situational variables, and thus to the person’s state. This erroneous assumption is...
12.9K
Probability Laws01:49

Probability Laws

40.8K
Overview
40.8K
Hindsight Biases01:12

Hindsight Biases

3.4K
Hindsight bias leads you to believe that the event you just experienced was predictable, even though it really wasn’t. In other words, you knew all along that things would turn out the way they did. Can you relate this to the phrase "Hindsight is 20/20" now? 
3.4K
Genetic Drift03:33

Genetic Drift

39.8K
Natural selection—probably the most well-known evolutionary mechanism—increases the prevalence of traits that enhance survival and reproduction. However, evolution does not merely propagate favorable traits, nor does it always benefit populations.
39.8K
Interpretation of Confidence Intervals01:19

Interpretation of Confidence Intervals

5.7K
A confidence interval is a better estimate of the population than a point estimate, as it uses a range of values from a sample instead of a single value.
Confidence intervals have confidence coefficients that are crucial for their interpretation. The most common confidence coefficients are 0.90, 0.95, and 0.99, which can be written as percentages–90%, 95%, and 99%, respectively.
Suppose a person calculates a confidence interval with a confidence coefficient of 0.95. In that case, they can...
5.7K

You might also read

Related Articles

Articles linked to this work by shared authors, journal, and citation graph.

Sort by
Same author

Cosmic Bell Test Using Random Measurement Settings from High-Redshift Quasars.

Physical review letters·2018
Same author

Cosmic Bell Test: Measurement Settings from Milky Way Stars.

Physical review letters·2017
Same author

Predicting single-neuron activity in locally connected networks.

Neural computation·2012
Same author

Epileptic seizures from abnormal networks: why some seizures defy predictability.

Epilepsy research·2011
Same author

Inflationary cosmology: exploring the universe from the smallest to the largest scales.

Science (New York, N.Y.)·2005
Same author

Inflationary spacetimes are incomplete in past directions.

Physical review letters·2003
Same journal

Concept(s) of Health: Lifestyle at the Heart of Modern Health.

Erkenntnis·2026
Same journal

Common Belief and Make-Believe.

Erkenntnis·2026
Same journal

Hilbert's Early Metatheory Revisited.

Erkenntnis·2026
Same journal

Neo-Russellian Abstractionism.

Erkenntnis·2026
Same journal

Epistemic Rationality Begins Unreflectively.

Erkenntnis·2026
Same journal

Forward-Looking Concept Functions and the Function/Accident Distinction.

Erkenntnis·2026
See all related articles
JoVE
x logofacebook logolinkedin logoyoutube logo
ABOUT JoVE
OverviewLeadershipBlogJoVE Help Center
AUTHORS
Publishing ProcessEditorial BoardScope & PoliciesPeer ReviewFAQSubmit
LIBRARIANS
TestimonialsSubscriptionsAccessResourcesLibrary Advisory BoardFAQ
RESEARCH
JoVE JournalMethods CollectionsJoVE Encyclopedia of ExperimentsArchive
EDUCATION
JoVE CoreJoVE BusinessJoVE Science EducationJoVE Lab ManualFaculty Resource CenterFaculty Site
Terms & Conditions of Use
Privacy Policy
Policies

Related Experiment Video

Updated: Jul 4, 2025

Measuring the Subjective Value of Risky and Ambiguous Options using Experimental Economics and Functional MRI Methods
13:04

Measuring the Subjective Value of Risky and Ambiguous Options using Experimental Economics and Functional MRI Methods

Published on: September 19, 2012

12.1K

A Bayesian View on the Dr. Evil Scenario.

Feraz Azhar1,2, Alan H Guth3, Mohammad Hossein Namjoo4

  • 1Department of Philosophy, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA.

Erkenntnis
|February 2, 2024
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study critiques Adam Elga's principle of indifference for self-locating beliefs. The authors argue Elga's reasoning is circular, as it assumes the principle it aims to justify.

More Related Videos

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
20:36

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling

Published on: July 4, 2007

8.7K
A Prediction Error-driven Retrieval Procedure for Destabilizing and Rewriting Maladaptive Reward Memories in Hazardous Drinkers
08:05

A Prediction Error-driven Retrieval Procedure for Destabilizing and Rewriting Maladaptive Reward Memories in Hazardous Drinkers

Published on: January 5, 2018

9.8K

Related Experiment Videos

Last Updated: Jul 4, 2025

Measuring the Subjective Value of Risky and Ambiguous Options using Experimental Economics and Functional MRI Methods
13:04

Measuring the Subjective Value of Risky and Ambiguous Options using Experimental Economics and Functional MRI Methods

Published on: September 19, 2012

12.1K
Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
20:36

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling

Published on: July 4, 2007

8.7K
A Prediction Error-driven Retrieval Procedure for Destabilizing and Rewriting Maladaptive Reward Memories in Hazardous Drinkers
08:05

A Prediction Error-driven Retrieval Procedure for Destabilizing and Rewriting Maladaptive Reward Memories in Hazardous Drinkers

Published on: January 5, 2018

9.8K

Area of Science:

  • Epistemology
  • Philosophy of Probability

Background:

  • Adam Elga proposed a principle of indifference for self-locating beliefs.
  • This principle suggests equal credences for indistinguishable subjective states.
  • Elga used thought experiments to justify this principle.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the logical structure of Elga's justification for the principle of indifference.
  • To evaluate the validity of Elga's reasoning using a Bayesian approach.
  • To determine if Elga's principle can be derived from his thought experiments.

Main Methods:

  • Bayesian analysis of philosophical arguments.
  • Critical examination of thought experiments in epistemology.
  • Logical assessment of self-locating belief principles.

Main Results:

  • Elga's reasoning in his third thought experiment is circular.
  • The justification relies on assuming the principle of indifference it seeks to prove.
  • The principle of indifference cannot be derived as claimed.

Conclusions:

  • Elga's defense of the principle of indifference is unsuccessful due to circular reasoning.
  • While the principle of indifference is reasonable, its derivation is flawed.
  • The Bayesian approach reveals the circularity in justifying self-locating belief credences.