Discrepancy Between Achieved and Vendor-Predicted Ablation Zones in the Lung: Contributing Factors

Several factors are known to affect lung ablation zones. Questions remain as to why there are discrepancies between achieved and vendor-predicted ablation zones and what contributing factors can be modified to balance therapeutic effects with avoidance of complications. This retrospective study of lung tumour microwave ablation analyses day 1 post-treatment CT to assess the effects of lesion-specific and operator-dependent factors on ablation zones.

Consecutive patients treated at a tertiary centre from 2018 to 2021 were included. All ablations were performed using a single microwave ablation device under lung isolation. The lung tumours were categorised as primary or secondary, and their "resistance" to ablation was graded according to their locations. Intraprocedural pulmonary inflation was assessed as equal to or less than the contralateral non-isolated lung. Ablation energy was categorised as high, medium, or low. Ablation zone dimensions were measured on day 1 CT and compared to vendor reference charts. Ablations with multiple needle positions or indeterminate boundaries were excluded.

A total of 47 lesions in 31 patients were analysed. Achieved long axes are longer than predicted by 5 mm or 14% (p < 0.01) without overall short axis discrepancy. Secondary tumours (p = 0.020), low-resistance location (p < 0.01), good lung inflation (p < 0.01), low (p = 0.003) and medium (p = 0.038) total energy produce lengthened long axes by 4-6 mm or 10-19%. High total energy results in shorter than predicated short axes by 6 mm or 18% (p = 0.010).

We identified several factors affecting ablation zone dimensions which may have implications for ablation planning and the avoidance of complications.