New Adverse Drug Reaction Signals from 2017 to 2021-Genuine Alerts or False Alarms?

Spontaneous adverse events reporting systems are used internationally to flag new or unexpected adverse drug reactions (ADRs). Disproportionality analysis is a recognised technique, but false alarms may arise. We aimed to determine whether these new ADR signals had subsequently been followed-up with detailed hypothesis-testing studies. We searched PubMed to identify published studies (years 2017-2021) where the authors reported findings of new ADR signals from disproportionality analyses. We used PubMed and forward citation tracking (Google Scholar) to identify any subsequent confirmatory studies of these ADR signals. We screened 414 titles and abstracts and checked the full-text articles of 57 studies. We found signals for 56 suspected new ADRs from 24 drugs. Google Scholar showed that the ADR studies had been cited a median of seven times (range 0-61). However, none of the suspected new ADRs had undergone detailed evaluation in the citing literature. Similarly, our PubMed search did not find any confirmation studies for the 56 suspected new ADRs. Although many suspected new ADR signals have been identified through disproportionality analysis, most signals have not been further verified as being either genuine ADRs or false alarms. Researchers must focus on follow-up studies for these new signals.