Urine cotinine versus self-reported smoking and the risk of chronic kidney disease

Evidence on the role of smoking in the development of chronic kidney disease (CKD) has mostly relied on self-reported smoking status. We aimed to compare the associations of smoking status as assessed by self-reports and urine cotinine with CKD risk.

Using the PREVEND prospective study, smoking status was assessed at baseline using self-reports and urine cotinine in 4333 participants (mean age, 52 years) without a history of CKD at baseline. Participants were classified as never, former, light current, and heavy current smokers according to self-reports and comparable cutoffs for urine cotinine. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for CKD.

The percentages of self-reported and cotinine-assessed current smokers were 27.5% and 24.0%, respectively. During a median follow-up of 7.0 years, 593 cases of CKD were recorded. In analyses adjusted for established risk factors, the HRs (95% CI) of CKD for self-reported former, light current, and heavy current smokers compared with never smokers were 1.17 (0.95-1.44), 1.48 (1.10-2.00), and 1.48 (1.14-1.93), respectively. On further adjustment for urinary albumin excretion (UAE), the HRs (95% CI) were 1.07 (0.87-1.32), 1.26 (0.93-1.70), and 1.20 (0.93-1.57), respectively. For urine cotinine-assessed smoking status, the corresponding HRs (95% CI) were 0.81 (0.52-1.25), 1.17 (0.92-1.49), and 1.32 (1.02-1.71), respectively, in analyses adjusted for established risk factors plus UAE.

Self-reported current smoking is associated with increased CKD risk, but dependent on UAE. The association between urine cotinine-assessed current smoking and increased CKD risk is independent of UAE. Urine cotinine-assessed smoking status may be a more reliable risk indicator for CKD incidence than self-reported smoking status.