Procedural application of mode-of-action and human relevance analysis: styrene-induced lung tumors in mice

Risk assessment of human health hazards has traditionally relied on experiments that use animal models. Although exposure studies in rats and mice are a major basis for determining risk in many cases, observations made in animals do not always reflect health hazards in humans due to differences in biology. In this critical review, we use the mode-of-action (MOA) human relevance framework to assess the likelihood that bronchiolar lung tumors observed in mice chronically exposed to styrene represent a plausible tumor risk in humans. Using available datasets, we analyze the weight-of-evidence 1) that styrene-induced tumors in mice occur through a MOA based on metabolism of styrene by Cyp2F2; and 2) whether the hypothesized key event relationships are likely to occur in humans. This assessment describes how the five modified Hill causality considerations support that a Cyp2F2-dependent MOA causing lung tumors is active in mice, but only results in tumorigenicity in susceptible strains. Comparison of the key event relationships assessed in the mouse was compared to an analogous MOA hypothesis staged in the human lung. While some biological concordance was recognized between key events in mice and humans, the MOA as hypothesized in the mouse appears unlikely in humans due to quantitative differences in the metabolic capacity of the airways and qualitative uncertainties in the toxicological and prognostic concordance of pre-neoplastic and neoplastic lesions arising in either species. This analysis serves as a rigorous demonstration of the framework's utility in increasing transparency and consistency in evidence-based assessment of MOA hypotheses in toxicological models and determining relevance to human health.