Determining steady-state trough range in vancomycin drug dosing using machine learning

M Samie Tootooni1, Erin F Barreto2, Phichet Wutthisirisart3

  • 1Department of Health Informatics and Data Science, Loyola University Chicago, Maywood, IL, United States of America.

PubMed
Abstract

Insights

Machine learning models predict vancomycin dosing risks in intensive care units (ICU). These models identify sub- and supra-therapeutic vancomycin trough levels, improving drug dosing accuracy for critically ill patients.

Area of Science:

  • Pharmacology
  • Clinical Pharmacy
  • Machine Learning in Medicine

Background:

  • Vancomycin, a critical antibiotic in ICUs, has a narrow therapeutic window and is nephrotoxic.
  • Achieving therapeutic vancomycin trough levels is crucial for efficacy and safety.
  • Predicting and managing vancomycin dosing is essential for critically ill patients.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and compare machine learning models for predicting vancomycin trough levels.
  • To assess the risk of sub-therapeutic and supra-therapeutic vancomycin levels.
  • To improve the accuracy of vancomycin dosing in intensive care unit (ICU) patients.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized a cohort of 5337 vancomycin courses from adult ICU patients (2007-2017).
  • Trained and compared various classification models using categorized vancomycin trough levels (sub-therapeutic, therapeutic, supra-therapeutic).
  • Evaluated model performance using AUC-ROC, specificity, and sensitivity.

Main Results:

  • XGBoost models demonstrated superior performance compared to other machine learning approaches.
  • Achieved AUC-ROC of 0.85 and 0.83 for sub- and supra-therapeutic levels, respectively.
  • Key predictors included kinetic estimated glomerular filtration rate, vancomycin regimen, comorbidities, BMI, age, sex, and blood pressure.

Conclusions:

  • Developed predictive models to identify risks of inappropriate vancomycin trough levels.
  • The models aid in optimizing vancomycin dosing strategies for ICU patients.
  • Enhanced accuracy in drug dosing can improve patient outcomes in critical care settings.

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