Incidence and Outcomes of Refractory Septic Shock per Consensus Clinical Criteria: A Multicohort Retrospective Study

Consensus clinical criteria for refractory septic shock were recently developed, but the incidence and outcomes with these criteria are unknown. There were two aims: 1) to describe the incidence of refractory septic shock and 2) to assess outcomes of patients with septic shock meeting refractory septic shock criteria compared with those who did not.

Multicohort, retrospective study. For aim 1, a descriptive epidemiologic study was designed to ascertain the cumulative incidence of refractory septic shock in patients with septic shock. For aim 2, a cohort study was conducted to compare hospital mortality between patients meeting refractory septic shock clinical criteria compared with those who did not.

Large U.S. health system from 2012 to 2024.

Adults (age ≥ 18 yr) meeting both Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Adult Sepsis Event and Sepsis-3 clinical criteria for septic shock. Patients with missing hospital discharge disposition and incomplete vasopressor dosage information were excluded.

None.

Clinical criteria for refractory septic shock were operationalized as concomitant occurrence of norepinephrine (base) equivalent greater than 0.5 µg/kg/min and lactate greater than 2 mmol/L. Risk-adjusted hospital mortality was assessed with a generalized linear mixed-effects model with a random effect for hospital and fixed effects for age, sex, Elixhauser Comorbidity Index, and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (original description, without cardiovascular component). Of 35,914 patients assessed, 15,732 patients with septic shock were included. Refractory septic shock occurred in 3423 patients (21.8%), with a cumulative incidence of 218 cases (95% CI, 211-224) per 1000 patients with septic shock. Hospital mortality with refractory septic shock was 64.4%, and risk-adjusted hospital mortality odds were 4.87-fold higher (95% CI, 4.46-5.31) compared with patients without refractory septic shock.

Clinical criteria for refractory septic shock were fulfilled in about one in five patients with septic shock and associated with substantially higher mortality.