Fractional order model of MRSA bacterial infection with real data fitting: Computational Analysis and Modeling

Muhammad Farman1, Nezihal Gokbulut2, Ulas Hurdoganoglu3

  • 1Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Mathematics, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, 99138, Turkey; Department of Computer Science and Mathematics, Lebanese American University, Beirut, Lebanon.

PubMed

Insights

This study introduces a fractional-order dynamic model for Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infection, validating its stability and analyzing key parameters. The findings emphasize the importance of fractional calculus in understanding MRSA dynamics and guiding antibiotic use.

Area of Science:

  • Mathematical Biology
  • Infectious Disease Modeling
  • Fractional Calculus

Background:

  • Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) poses a significant international health risk, presenting diverse clinical manifestations from colonization to severe invasive disease.
  • Understanding the transmission dynamics and developing effective control strategies for MRSA are crucial in healthcare and social settings.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and analyze a novel fractional-order dynamic model for MRSA infection using real-world data.
  • To investigate the biological feasibility, stability, and key epidemiological parameters of the proposed MRSA model.
  • To explore the influence of fractional calculus on MRSA infection dynamics and antibiotic treatment strategies.

Main Methods:

  • Development of a fractional-order dynamic model for MRSA infection.
  • Analysis of model properties including invariant regions, bounded solutions, and uniqueness.
  • Calculation and sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number (ℛ₀).
  • Application of fixed-point theory for existence, uniqueness, and Ulam-Hyers-Rassias stability.
  • Implementation of Chaos Control for system stabilization.
  • Numerical simulations using a two-step Newton polynomial method to assess the impact of fractional orders.

Main Results:

  • The fractional-order MRSA model was demonstrated to be biologically feasible with a positively invariant region and bounded solutions.
  • The basic reproduction number (ℛ₀) was determined, and its parameters were analyzed for sensitivity.
  • The existence, uniqueness, and generalized Ulam-Hyers-Rassias stability of the model were established.
  • Numerical simulations confirmed the significant impact of fractional orders on MRSA infection dynamics.
  • The study verified the importance of judicious antibiotic usage in managing MRSA infections through the lens of fractional calculus.

Conclusions:

  • Fractional-order modeling provides a valuable framework for understanding the complex dynamics of MRSA infections.
  • The analysis highlights the critical role of fractional orders in predicting infection spread and evaluating control measures.
  • The findings underscore the necessity of informed antibiotic stewardship to combat the persistent threat of MRSA.