Modified natural cycle allows a window of 7 days for frozen embryo transfer planning

Should ovulation be triggered in a modified natural cycle (mNC) with recombinant human chorionic gonadotrophin (rHCG) as soon as a mean follicle diameter of 17 mm is visible, or is more flexible planning possible?

This multicentre, retrospective, observational study of 3087 single frozen blastocyst transfers in mNC was carried out between January 2020 and September 2022. The inclusion criteria included endometrial thickness ≥7 mm and serum progesterone <1.5 ng/ml. The main outcome was ongoing pregnancy rate. Secondary end-points were pregnancy rate, implantation rate, clinical pregnancy rate and miscarriage rate. The mean follicle size at triggering was stratified into three groups (13.0-15.9, 16.0-18.9 and 19.0-22 mm).

The baseline characteristics between the groups did not vary significantly for age, body mass index and the donor's age for egg donation. No differences were found in pregnancy rate (64.5%, 60.2% and 57.4%; P = 0.19), clinical pregnancy rate (60.5%, 52.8% and 50.6%; P = 0.10), implantation rate (62.10%, 52.9% and 51.0%; P = 0.05) or miscarriage rate (15.0%, 22.2%; and 25.0%; P = 0.11). Although ongoing pregnancy rate (54.9%, 46.8% and 43.1%; P = 0.02) varied significantly in the univariable analysis, it was no longer significant after adjustment for the use of preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidies and egg donation.

The findings showed rHCG could be flexibly administered with a mean follicle size between 13 and 22 mm as long as adequate endometrial characteristics are met, and serum progesterone is <1.5 ng/ml. Considering the follicular growth rate of 1-1.5 mm/day, this approach could allow a flexibility for FET scheduling of 6-7 days, simplifying mNC FET planning in clinical practice.