Modeling Developmental Changes in Caffeine Clearance Considering Differences between Pre- and Postnatal Period

Taguchi et al. reported that postmenstrual age (PMA) is a promising factor in describing and understanding the developmental change of caffeine (CAF) clearance. The aim of the present study was to quantify how developmental changes occur and to determine the effect of the length of the gestational period on CAF clearance. We performed a nonlinear mixed effect model (NONMEM) analysis and evaluated the fit of six models. A total of 115 samples were obtained from 52 patients with a mean age of 34.3 ± 18.2 d. The median values of gestational age (GA) and postnatal age (PNA) were 196 and 31 d, respectively. Serum CAF levels corrected for dose per body surface area (BSA) (C/D ratio_BSA) were dependent on PMA rather than PNA, which supports the findings of a previous study. NONMEM analysis provided the following final model of oral clearance: CL/F = 0.00603∙WT∙∙0.877^{GA ≤ 196} L/h. This model takes into account developmental changes during prenatal and postnatal periods separately. The model successfully described the variation in clearance of CAF. Our findings suggest that the dosage of CAF in preterm infants should be determined based not only on body weight (WT) but also on both PNA and GA.