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Distinguishing between fractional Brownian motion with random and constant Hurst exponent using sample
Aleksandra Grzesiek1, Janusz Gajda2, Samudrajit Thapa3
1Faculty of Pure and Applied Mathematics, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, Wyspianskiego 27, 50-370 Wroclaw, Poland.
This study introduces a method to distinguish between constant and random Hurst exponents in fractional Brownian motion (FBM) using statistical analysis. The findings help better model complex systems with varying anomalous diffusion behaviors.
Area of Science:
- Complex Systems Dynamics
- Statistical Physics
- Time Series Analysis
Background:
- Fractional Brownian motion (FBM) models complex system dynamics using the Hurst exponent.
- Classical FBM may not capture experimental data where the anomalous diffusion exponent varies per trajectory.
- FBM with a random Hurst exponent is a proposed extension to address these limitations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a method for distinguishing between FBM with a constant Hurst exponent and FBM with a random Hurst exponent.
- To analyze the probabilistic properties of quadratic form statistics for hypothesis testing.
- To apply the developed methodology to real-world financial and biological datasets.
Main Methods:
- Examined the sample autocovariance function and empirical anomaly measure statistics.
- Utilized correlation properties inherent to the FBM models.
- Developed a testing procedure based on these statistics to differentiate between constant and random Hurst exponent models.
- Considered two-point and beta distributions for the random Hurst exponent.
Main Results:
- Presented analytical and simulation results demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed testing procedure.
- Showcased the ability to differentiate between the two FBM models based on statistical properties.
- Validated the methodology on financial market data and single particle tracking experiments.
Conclusions:
- The developed statistical testing procedure effectively distinguishes between FBM with constant and random Hurst exponents.
- The methodology provides a valuable tool for analyzing complex systems exhibiting trajectory-dependent anomalous diffusion.
- The approach has practical applications in fields like finance and biophysics.
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