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Area of Science:

  • Psychology
  • Mental Health Research

Background:

  • Limited research exists on how individuals mentally simulate future suicidal thoughts and urges, a process termed suicidal prospection.
  • Suicidal prospection is a key area for understanding suicidal ideation and behavior.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the process of suicidal prospection in adults with recent suicidal thoughts.
  • To examine how individuals predict the severity of their future suicidal thoughts.

Main Methods:

  • A 42-day real-time monitoring study with 94 adults experiencing recent suicidal thoughts.
  • Participants provided daily predictions and retrospective ratings of suicidal thought severity (desire, urge, intent).
  • Prediction errors were calculated by comparing predicted versus experienced severity.

Main Results:

  • Participants generally overestimated the severity of future suicidal thoughts, though the average error was small.
  • Prediction models indicated that current suicidal thinking and prior predictions informed future predictions.
  • The average predicted severity of future suicidal thoughts correlated with the frequency of suicidal ideation during follow-up.

Conclusions:

  • Suicidal prospection is a significant psychological process for understanding suicidal thoughts and behaviors.
  • This research provides insights into the cognitive mechanisms underlying suicidal ideation.