The rupture risk of intracranial saccular aneurysm: a case-control study based on a three-dimensional computed...

Assessing the risk of rupture in intracranial aneurysms is crucial. Advancements in medical imaging now allow for three-dimensional (3D) assessments of aneurysms, providing a more detailed understanding of their morphology and associated risks. This study aimed to compare the 3D morphological parameters of ruptured and unruptured intracranial saccular aneurysms (ISAs) using computed tomography angiography (CTA) and to analyze risk factors linked to ISA rupture.

This retrospective case-control study included patients diagnosed with ISAs via CTA, for which data were sourced from both the Emergency Department and Inpatient Unit in The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University. The patients were categorized into rupture and unrupture groups. We used 3D-Slicer (version 5.2.2, Slicer Community) to construct morphological models of the ISAs and their parent arteries. These models facilitated assessments of intracranial aneurysmal volume (IAV), aneurysmal surface area (ASA), and maximum sectional area (MSA). Differences in 3D morphological parameters between ruptured and unruptured ISAs were then analyzed. For statistical analysis, we first performed single factor analysis on the data, constructed a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve one by one with statistically significant parameters, and screened out ROC curves that met the sample requirements. Second, we performed multiparameter logistic regression analysis to construct a ROC curve model and analyzed its predictive performance.

The analysis encompassed 97 patients comprising 97 ISAs diagnosed from March 2016 to March 2022. Significant differences in morphological parameters were observed between the rupture and unrupture groups (P<0.05), including IAV, ASA, MSA, IAV/diameter (IAV/D), IAV/neck width (IAV/N), MSA/diameter (MSA/D), MSA/neck width (MSA/N), ASA/neck width (ASA/N), and ASA/MSA. It was found that the IAV, ASA, and MSA values of the rupture group were larger than those of the unrupture group. Meanwhile, the IAV/D, IAV/N, MSA/D, MSA/N, and ASA/N values were larger in the rupture group, while ASA/MSA and ASA/IAV were smaller.

This study underscores the significance of specific morphological indicators, such as ASA/N and ASA/MSA, in predicting the rupture risk of ISAs. The IAV, MSA, and ASA parameters, especially in relation to diameter and neck width, provide crucial insights into the rupture potential of ISAs.