Prognostic value of postoperative anti-thyroglobulin antibody in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer

Postoperative thyroglobulin (Tg) generally serves as a biomarker to monitor the recurrence or persistence of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), whereas it constrains to interference from anti-thyroglobulin antibody (TgAb). This study aimed to determine the value of postoperative TgAb as a surrogate for monitoring tumor status in DTCs with positive TgAb after successful radioactive iodine (RAI) remnant ablation.

We retrospectively enrolled DTC patients with positive (≥40 IU/mL, Roche) postoperative TgAb measurements. An index of TgAb change (ΔTgAb) was defined to describe the TgAb decrease rate. DTC status was defined as either no evidence of disease (NED) or persistent/recurrent disease (PRD). Univariate and multivariate binary logistic analyses were used to identify the independent risk factors of PRD. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were performed to determine the optimal cutoff values of each risk factor, and DeLong's test was conducted to compare their predictive powers. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to assess the impact of different TgAb trends in the first year on progression-free survival.

Of the 232 patients enrolled, the median diagnosis age was 34 years (range, 18-62 years), with a male-to-female ratio of 1:4.66 (41/191). Among them, after a median follow-up of 44 months (range, 4-128 months),183 (78.87%) patients were evaluated as NED, while the other 49 (21.12%) had either persistent (n = 25) or recurrent disease (n = 24). Multivariate regression showed that ΔTgAb (P < 0.001) and lymph node metastasis (LNM) rate (P = 0.009) were independently relevant to the presence of PRD, with optimal cutoff values of 47.0% and 35.1%, respectively. It is important to note that there is a high negative predictive value (96.93%) of ΔTgAb with the cutoff of 47.0%. DeLong's test showed that ΔTgAb alone and the combination of ΔTgAb and LNM rate were significantly greater than the isolated LNM rate (both P < 0.001) in predicting NED, while there was no statistical difference of the predictive power between ΔTgAb and the combination (P = 0.203). Additionally, patients with ΔTgAb >47.0% had longer progression-free survival than those with ΔTgAb ≤47.0% (not reached vs. 50 months, P < 0.001), and those with ΔTgAb >47.0% or negative conversion within the first year after RAI ablation had longer progression-free survival.

Our study suggested that ΔTgAb could serve as a valuable indicator of disease status in DTC patients with positive TgAb. A ΔTgAb of >47.0% is conducive to identify those with NED and may help to obviate their overtreatment. The decrease rate and negative conversion of TgAb in the first year were good predictors of disease-free survival in patients.