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Inconclusive decisions and error rates in forensic science
H Swofford1, S Lund1, H Iyer1
1National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), USA.
Forensic Science International. Synergy
|May 13, 2024
Summary
This study addresses challenges in forensic science regarding inconclusive results by distinguishing between method conformance and method performance to ensure reliable examination outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Forensic Science
- Evidence Analysis
- Decision Making in Forensics
Background:
- Controversy exists regarding the handling of inconclusive decisions in forensic feature comparison.
- Reliability of examination methods and results is a key concern in forensic science.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review current viewpoints on inconclusive forensic decisions.
- To propose a solution for addressing inconclusive decisions in forensic feature comparison.
- To clarify the distinct roles of method conformance and method performance in determining reliability.
Main Methods:
- Review of existing literature and viewpoints on inconclusive forensic decisions.
- Conceptual analysis distinguishing method conformance and method performance.
- Discussion of the implications for the forensic science community.
Main Results:
- Inconclusive decisions in forensic science require careful consideration of both method conformance and method performance.
- Method conformance ensures adherence to established procedures.
- Method performance assesses the discriminatory capacity of a forensic method.
Conclusions:
- A clear distinction between method conformance and method performance is crucial for evaluating the reliability of forensic examinations.
- The proposed framework aims to standardize the treatment of inconclusive results.
- This approach enhances the overall integrity and trustworthiness of forensic science findings.
Keywords:
Bayesian reasoningBlack-box studyError ratesForensic scienceInconclusivesLikelihood ratioValidation dataMore Related Videos
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