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Advancing 100m sprint performance prediction: A machine learning approach to velocity curve modeling and performance
Chung Kit Tam1, Zai-Fu Yao1,2,3,4
1Department of Kinesiology, National Tsing Hua University, Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
Machine learning models offer a more accessible and accurate way to predict 100m sprint velocity-time curves, outperforming traditional methods. Higher maximum sprint velocity strongly correlates with faster overall sprint times.
Area of Science:
- Sports Science
- Biomechanics
- Data Science
Background:
- Traditional 100m sprint velocity-time models often require complex data collection.
- There is a need for more accessible and accurate modeling approaches in sprinting performance analysis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate machine learning models for predicting the velocity-time curve in 100m sprinting.
- To compare the performance of machine learning models against traditional speed models.
- To investigate the relationship between key velocity parameters and overall sprint time.
Main Methods:
- Utilized international track event data (1987-2019).
- Employed Random Forest (RF) and Neural Network (NN) machine learning algorithms.
- Evaluated model accuracy using Mean Squared Error (MSE) against a traditional exponential speed model.
Main Results:
- The Neural Network (NN) model demonstrated superior predictive performance compared to the Random Forest (RF) and traditional models.
- A strong negative correlation was found between maximum sprint velocity and final 100m sprint time.
- Key parameters like time to maximum velocity and duration of the maximum speed phase were analyzed.
Conclusions:
- Machine learning provides a viable and effective alternative for modeling sprint dynamics.
- Optimizing maximum velocity is crucial for improving overall 100m sprint performance.
- This research offers valuable tools for sports scientists in training and performance analysis.
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