Pre-operative lung ablation prediction using deep learning

Microwave lung ablation (MWA) is a minimally invasive and inexpensive alternative cancer treatment for patients who are not candidates for surgery/radiotherapy. However, a major challenge for MWA is its relatively high tumor recurrence rates, due to incomplete treatment as a result of inaccurate planning. We introduce a patient-specific, deep-learning model to accurately predict post-treatment ablation zones to aid planning and enable effective treatments.

Our IRB-approved retrospective study consisted of ablations with a single applicator/burn/vendor between 01/2015 and 01/2019. The input data included pre-procedure computerized tomography (CT), ablation power/time, and applicator position. The ground truth ablation zone was segmented from follow-up CT post-treatment. Novel deformable image registration optimized for ablation scans and an applicator-centric co-ordinate system for data analysis were applied. Our prediction model was based on the U-net architecture. The registrations were evaluated using target registration error (TRE) and predictions using Bland-Altman plots, Dice co-efficient, precision, and recall, compared against the applicator vendor's estimates.

The data included 113 unique ablations from 72 patients (median age 57, interquartile range (IQR) (49-67); 41 women). We obtained a TRE ≤ 2 mm on 52 ablations. Our prediction had no bias from ground truth ablation volumes (p = 0.169) unlike the vendor's estimate (p < 0.001) and had smaller limits of agreement (p < 0.001). An 11% improvement was achieved in the Dice score. The ability to account for patient-specific in-vivo anatomical effects due to vessels, chest wall, heart, lung boundaries, and fissures was shown.

We demonstrated a patient-specific deep-learning model to predict the ablation treatment effect prior to the procedure, with the potential for improved planning, achieving complete treatments, and reduce tumor recurrence.

Our method addresses the current lack of reliable tools to estimate ablation extents, required for ensuring successful ablation treatments. The potential clinical implications include improved treatment planning, ensuring complete treatments, and reducing tumor recurrence.