Predictors and Time Interval of Chronic Rhinosinusitis Recurrence After Endoscopic Sinus Surgery

Chronic rhinosinusitis (CRS) is a common inflammatory disease that significantly impacts the quality of life. Endoscopic sinus surgery (ESS) is indicated for refractory CRS. This study aims to estimate the predictors of CRS recurrence, and the rates with time intervals of recurrent CRS and revision ESS.

A retrospective cohort study included 516 patients who underwent ESS for CRS at King Abdulaziz Medical City in Riyadh between January 2017 and May 2020. Patients were followed up for 12-48 months postoperatively. The study sample was divided into two groups based on the recurrence status and compared using the appropriate statistical tests. Significant variables were included in the logistic regression model to determine the predictors of CRS recurrence.

The recurrence rate of CRS following ESS was 14.5%, with a time interval of 28.31 months, and standard deviation (SD) =18.76. On the other hand, the rate of revision ESS for recurrent CRS was 6.8%, with a time interval of 34.18 months, SD =16. In the multivariable logistic regression model, the significant predictors of recurrent CRS were a high Lund-Mackay (LM) score [odds ratio (OR): 1.055, p=0.04] and a high eosinophil count (OR: 3.619, p=0.03). Almost half of the patients who developed recurrent CRS underwent revision surgery (46.7%).

CRS has a considerable recurrence rate despite the high success rate of ESS, and nearly half of the recurrent CRS patients need revision surgery. A high LM score and eosinophilic count significantly increase the likelihood of CRS recurrence.