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Updated: Jun 24, 2025

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Published on: April 17, 2020
Dynamic volume-outcome association for esophagectomies: Do current volume thresholds still apply?
Kristen Jogerst1, Chi Zhang2, Yu-Hui Chang3
1Department of Surgery, Mayo Clinic Arizona, Phoenix, AZ.
The minimum hospital case volume for esophagectomy has decreased. A threshold of 7 annual cases in 2015 achieved similar 30-day mortality as 20 cases previously, suggesting updated standards are needed.
Area of Science:
- Surgical Oncology
- Health Services Research
Background:
- Current hospital case volume recommendations for esophagectomy may not reflect contemporary practice.
- The established minimum of 20 annual cases per hospital is met by only 1.1% of institutions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the applicability of the current minimum case volume recommendation for esophagectomy.
- To assess trends in 30-day mortality and determine if the recommended volume threshold is still relevant.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of esophageal resection data from 2005-2015 in the National Cancer Database.
- Hospitals categorized into low, medium, and high-volume strata based on quartiles.
- Logistic regression used to calculate adjusted 30-day mortality and analyze trends.
Main Results:
- Overall unadjusted 30-day mortality for esophagectomy was 3.8%.
- Adjusted 30-day mortality decreased across all volume strata between 2005 and 2015.
- By 2015, 7 annual cases achieved similar adjusted 30-day mortality as 20 cases in the overall cohort.
Conclusions:
- Only a small fraction of hospitals meet the current 20-case minimum for esophagectomy.
- Improvements in care have lowered mortality, making lower volume thresholds achievable.
- Revising volume recommendations could enhance access to quality esophagectomy care.
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