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Investigating causal associations between pneumonia and lung cancer using a bidirectional mendelian randomization

Lujia Song¹, Dongsheng Wu², Jiayang Wu¹

¹Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Health and Multimorbidity, Targeted Tracer Research and Development Laboratory, Med-X Center for Manufacturing, Frontiers Science Center for Disease-related Molecular Network, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

|June 11, 2024

Abstract

Background:

Pneumonia and lung cancer are both major respiratory diseases, and observational studies have explored the association between their susceptibility. However, due to the presence of potential confounders and reverse causality, the comprehensive causal relationships between pneumonia and lung cancer require further exploration.

Methods:

Genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary-level data were obtained from the hitherto latest FinnGen database, COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative resource, and International Lung Cancer Consortium. We implemented a bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) framework to evaluate the causal relationships between several specific types of pneumonia and lung cancer. The causal estimates were mainly calculated by inverse-variance weighted (IVW) approach. Additionally, sensitivity analyses were also conducted to validate the robustness of the causalty.

Results:

In the MR analyses, overall pneumonia demonstrated a suggestive but modest association with overall lung cancer risk (Odds ratio [OR]: 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01 - 1.44, P = 0.037). The correlations between specific pneumonia types and overall lung cancer were not as significant, including bacterial pneumonia (OR: 1.07, 95% CI: 0.91 - 1.26, P = 0.386), viral pneumonia (OR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.95 - 1.06, P = 0.891), asthma-related pneumonia (OR: 1.18, 95% CI: 0.92 - 1.52, P = 0.181), and COVID-19 (OR: 1.01, 95% CI: 0.78 - 1.30, P = 0.952). Reversely, with lung cancer as the exposure, we observed that overall lung cancer had statistically crucial associations with bacterial pneumonia (OR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.03 - 1.13, P = 0.001) and viral pneumonia (OR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.01 - 1.19, P = 0.037). Sensitivity analysis also confirmed the robustness of these findings.

Conclusion:

This study has presented a systematic investigation into the causal relationships between pneumonia and lung cancer subtypes. Further prospective study is warranted to verify these findings.

Keywords:

Causal relationship Lung cancer Mendelian randomization Pneumonia

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