Reconstructing the Global Migration History of Phytophthora infestans Toward Colombia

The evolution of new variants of plant pathogens is one of the biggest challenges to controlling and managing plant diseases. Of the forces driving these evolutionary processes, global migration events are particularly important for widely distributed diseases such as potato late blight, caused by the oomycete Phytophthora infestans. However, little is known about its migration routes outside North America and Europe. This work used genotypic data from population studies to elucidate the migration history originating the Colombian P. infestans population. For this purpose, a dataset of 1,706 P. infestans genotypes was recollected, representing North and South America, Europe, and Asia. Descriptive analysis and historical records from North America and Europe were used to propose three global migration hypotheses, differing on the origin of the disease (Mexico or Peru) and the hypothesis that it returned to South America from Europe. These scenarios were tested using approximate Bayesian computation. According to this analysis, the most probable scenario (posterior probability = 0.631) was the one proposing a Peruvian origin for P. infestans, an initial migration toward Colombia and Mexico, and a later event from Mexico to the United States and then to Europe and Asia, with no return to northern South America. In Colombia, the scenario considering a single migration from Peru and posterior migrations within Colombia was the most probable, with a posterior probability of 0.640. The obtained results support the hypothesis of a Peruvian origin for P. infestans followed by rare colonization events worldwide.