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Cardiac Damage Staging Predicts Outcomes in Aortic Valve Stenosis After Aortic Valve Replacement: Meta-Analysis
Omar M Abdelfattah1, Xander Jacquemyn2, Michel Pompeu Sá3
1Division of Cardiology, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, Texas, USA.
Insights
Cardiac damage staging predicts mortality in aortic stenosis (AS) patients undergoing aortic valve replacement (AVR). Higher stages correlate with increased all-cause mortality, aiding treatment timing and patient selection for improved prognosis.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Cardiovascular Surgery
- Clinical Prognostics
Background:
- Aortic stenosis (AS) is a significant cardiovascular condition.
- Cardiac damage staging, based on extravalvular damage, has been proposed for prognostic assessment in moderate/severe AS.
- The prognostic value of this staging system requires validation across diverse AS patient populations undergoing intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the association between cardiac damage staging and mortality in patients with AS undergoing aortic valve replacement (AVR), either surgically or transcatheter.
- To assess the prognostic implications of baseline cardiac damage staging across the full spectrum of AS severity and symptoms.
Main Methods:
- A pooled meta-analysis was performed using reconstructed time-to-event data from Kaplan-Meier curves.
- Data were sourced from 16 eligible studies published up to February 2023.
- The analysis included 14,499 patients, comprising 12,282 with symptomatic severe AS and 2,217 with asymptomatic moderate/severe AS.
Main Results:
- In symptomatic severe AS patients, 5-year all-cause mortality increased significantly with higher cardiac damage stages (Stage 0: 24.0% to Stage 4: 57.3%).
- Hazard ratios for mortality increased substantially with each stage, e.g., Stage 3 HR 2.92 (P < 0.001) and Stage 4 HR 3.51 (P < 0.001) compared to Stage 0.
- In asymptomatic moderate/severe AS patients, 8-year all-cause mortality also rose with stage (Stage 0: 19.3% to Stage 3-4: 67.8%), with significant hazard ratios (e.g., Stage 3-4 HR 3.90, P < 0.001).
Conclusions:
- Baseline cardiac damage staging is a significant prognostic indicator in patients with AS undergoing AVR.
- This staging system can inform treatment decisions, including the timing of AVR and the need for adjunctive therapies.
- Utilizing cardiac damage staging may help prevent irreversible damage and improve long-term outcomes for AS patients.
Background:
The prognostic value of cardiac damage staging classification based on the extent of extravalvular damage has been proposed in moderate/severe aortic stenosis (AS).
Objectives:
The purpose of this study was to assess the association of cardiac damage staging with mortality across the spectrum of patients with AS following aortic surgical or transcatheter aortic valve replacement (AVR).
Methods:
We conducted a pooled meta-analysis of Kaplan-Meier-derived reconstructed time-to-event data from studies published through February 2023.
Results:
In total, 16 studies (n = 14,499) met our eligibility criteria and included 12,282 patients with symptomatic severe AS and 2,217 patients with asymptomatic severe/moderate AS. For patients with symptomatic severe AS, all-cause mortality was 24.0%, 27.7%, 38.0%, 56.3%, and 57.3% at 5 years in patients with cardiac damage stage 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively (stage 0 as reference; HR in stage 1: 1.30 [95% CI: 1.03-1.64]; P = 0.029; stage 2: 1.74 [95% CI: 1.41-2.16]; P < 0.001; stage 3: 2.92 [95% CI: 2.35-3.64]; P < 0.001, and stage 4: 3.51 [95% CI: 2.79-4.41]; P < 0.001). For patients with asymptomatic moderate/severe AS, all-cause mortality was 19.3%, 36.9%, 51.7%, and 67.8% at 8 years in patients with cardiac damage stage 0, 1, 2, and 3 to 4, respectively (HR in stage 1: 1.70 [95% CI: 1.21-2.38]; P = 0.002; stage 2: 2.20 [95% CI: 1.60-3.02]; P < 0.001; and stage 3 to 4: 3.90 [95% CI: 2.79-5.47]; P < 0.001).
Conclusions:
In patients undergoing AVR across the symptomatic and severity spectrum of AS, cardiac damage staging at baseline has important prognostic implications. This pooled meta-analysis in patients undergoing AVR suggests that staging of baseline cardiac damage could be considered for timing and selection of therapy in patients with moderate or severe AS to determine the need for earlier AVR or adjunctive pharmacotherapy to prevent irreversible cardiac damage and improve the long-term prognosis.
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