Association of Mosaic Chromosomal Alterations and Genetic Factors with the Risk of Cirrhosis

Age-related mosaic chromosomal alterations (mCAs) detected from genotyping of blood-derived DNA are structural somatic variants that indicate clonal hematopoiesis. This study aimed to investigate whether mCAs contribute to the risk of cirrhosis and modify the effect of a polygenic risk score (PRS) on cirrhosis risk prediction.

mCA call sets of individuals with European ancestry were obtained from the UK Biobank. The PRS was constructed based on 12 susceptible single-nucleotide polymorphisms for cirrhosis. Cox proportional hazard models were applied to evaluate the associations between mCAs and cirrhosis risk.

Among 448,645 individuals with a median follow-up of 12.5 years, we identified 2,681 cases of cirrhosis, 1,775 cases of compensated cirrhosis, and 1,706 cases of decompensated cirrhosis. Compared to non-carriers, individuals with copy-neutral loss of heterozygosity mCAs had a significantly increased risk of cirrhosis (hazard ratio (HR) 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-1.81). This risk was higher in patients with expanded cell fractions of mCAs (cell fractions ≥10% vs. cell fractions <10%), especially for the risk of decompensated cirrhosis (HR 2.03 [95% CI 1.09-3.78] vs. 1.14 [0.80-1.64]). In comparison to non-carriers of mCAs with low genetic risk, individuals with expanded copy-neutral loss of heterozygosity and high genetic risk showed the highest cirrhosis risk (HR 5.39 [95% CI 2.41-12.07]).

The presence of mCAs is associated with increased susceptibility to cirrhosis risk and could be combined with PRS for personalized cirrhosis risk stratification.