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Framework for mapping large-scale nature-based solutions for drought mitigation: Regional application in Flanders.

Estifanos Addisu Yimer1, Lien De Trift1, Stefaan Dondeyne2

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Summary

Nature-based solutions (NBS) effectively mitigate drought impacts. A new framework identifies suitable areas for detention basins and managed aquifer recharge, crucial for managing water scarcity and climate change.

Keywords:
Detention basinDrought-induced water scarcityManaged aquifer rechargeMulti-criteria decision-makingNature-based solutionsSuitability mapping

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Water Resource Management
  • Climate Change Adaptation

Background:

  • Droughts are costly climate disasters with increasing frequency and intensity.
  • Nature-based solutions (NBS) offer effective drought mitigation strategies.
  • Existing frameworks lack drought-specific criteria for NBS suitability mapping.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose a novel framework for identifying drought-coping NBS suitability at a regional scale.
  • To assess the effectiveness of detention basins and managed aquifer recharge for drought mitigation.
  • To incorporate drought-specific criteria and climate change scenarios into suitability analysis.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized two multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) techniques: Boolean logic and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP).
  • Developed a framework incorporating climate change scenarios for surface/groundwater, recharge, and groundwater characteristics.
  • Applied the framework regionally in Flanders, Belgium, to map NBS suitability.

Main Results:

  • Boolean logic identified 298.7 km² for detention basins and 867.5 km² for managed aquifer recharge in Flanders.
  • AHP analysis revealed broader suitability: 2552.2 km² for detention basins and 2538.7 km² for managed aquifer recharge.
  • Detention basins showed potential to partially offset high regional groundwater demand.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed framework effectively identifies suitable NBS locations for drought management.
  • Both Boolean logic and AHP approaches demonstrate the adaptability and scalability of the framework.
  • Implementing NBS is vital for sustainable water resource management under increasing drought conditions.