Prediction of Micro- and Macrovascular Complications in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus using Heart Rate Variability

To explore the utility of heart rate variability (HRV), a noninvasive marker of cardiac autonomic activity, as a prescreening tool for the prediction of micro- and macrovascular complications in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

Consenting type 2 diabetic patients of both genders between 30 and 70 years, without known micro- and macrovascular complications of diabetes, were enrolled. Patients with medications affecting the HRV were excluded. Prior to other screening tests, 15 minutes of resting electrocardiogram (ECG) (1 kHz) was recorded in enrolled patients, followed by an exercise stress test and assessment for nephropathy, retinopathy, and peripheral neuropathy. The patients with positive stress tests were referred for coronary angiography to confirm coronary artery disease. Based on screening test results, patients were grouped as Group I-T2DM without complications (n = 31) and Group II-T2DM with micro/macrovascular complications (n = 29), (total = 60).

Group comparison and test for association were employed, and p-value of <0.05 was considered significant. Significantly reduced HRV (decreased standard deviation of NN interval) between groups and a strong association of HRV indices with complications of diabetes were observed. Logistic regression to classify complicated vs noncomplicated group was used, and an accuracy of 0.78 with 85% sensitivity, 74% specificity with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.83 was observed.

Significantly reduced HRV, stronger association with complications, and 85% sensitivity, 74% specificity, and 78% accuracy of classification make HRV indices a promising prescreening tool to predict micro- and macrovascular complications in type 2 diabetes.