Time trends in stroke risk management among high-risk patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation in Australia

K Giskes1,2,3, N Lowres2,3, J Orchard3,1

  • 1The University of Notre Dame, General Practice, Sydney, Australia.

Insights

Stroke risk management for atrial fibrillation (AF) patients improved, with more high-risk individuals on oral anticoagulants (OACs). However, many remain inadequately treated, highlighting the need for better stroke risk assessment and addressing bleeding concerns.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Public Health
  • Pharmacology

Background:

  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) significantly increases stroke risk.
  • Recent guidelines emphasize CHA2DS2-VA score for risk assessment, prioritizing anticoagulation over antiplatelet agents (APAs) for high-risk patients, and recommending non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) as first-line therapy.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze trends in stroke risk management for high-risk non-valvular AF patients in Australia from 2011 to 2019.
  • To evaluate the uptake of guideline-recommended therapies, including oral anticoagulants (OACs) and APAs.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of de-identified data from 164 Australian general practices.
  • Identification of non-valvular AF patients and calculation of stroke risk using the CHA2DS2-VA score.
  • Categorization of high-risk patients (CHA2DS2-VA ≥ 2) based on management: OACs, APAs only, or neither. Examination of prescribing trends and multivariate analysis of factors influencing OAC therapy.

Main Results:

  • The study included 8696 AF patients, with 85.8% identified as high-risk.
  • Management shifted towards OACs, increasing from 56.7% in 2011 to 73.7% in 2019, while APA use decreased from 31.1% to 14.0%.
  • Despite improvements, 26.3% of high-risk patients were inadequately anticoagulated by 2019. Patients with higher stroke risk comorbidities were more likely to receive OACs.

Conclusions:

  • Stroke risk management in AF patients has improved, with increased OAC use aligning with guidelines.
  • A significant proportion of high-risk patients remain undertreated, indicating a need for enhanced clinical stroke risk assessment.
  • Addressing practitioner concerns regarding bleeding risk is crucial for optimizing anticoagulation strategies in high-risk AF patients.
Abstract

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