Improving criteria for dissemination in space in multiple sclerosis by including additional regions

We investigated the effects of adding regions to current dissemination in space (DIS) criteria for multiple sclerosis (MS).

Participants underwent brain, optic nerve, and spinal cord MRI. Baseline DIS was assessed by 2017 McDonald criteria and versions including optic nerve, temporal lobe, or corpus callosum as a fifth region (requiring 2/5), a version with all regions (requiring 3/7) and optic nerve variations requiring 3/5 and 4/5 regions. Performance was evaluated against MS diagnosis (2017 McDonald criteria) during follow-up.

Eighty-four participants were recruited (53F, 32.8 ± 7.1 years). 2017 McDonald DIS criteria were 87% sensitive (95% CI: 76-94), 73% specific (50-89), and 83% accurate (74-91) in identifying MS. Modified criteria with optic nerve improved sensitivity to 98% (91-100), with specificity 33% (13-59) and accuracy 84% (74-91). Criteria including temporal lobe showed sensitivity 94% (84-98), specificity 50% (28-72), and accuracy 82% (72-90); criteria including corpus callosum showed sensitivity 90% (80-96), specificity 68% (45-86), and accuracy 85% (75-91). Criteria adding all three regions (3/7 required) had sensitivity 95% (87-99), specificity 55% (32-76), and accuracy 85% (75-91). When requiring 3/5 regions (optic nerve as the fifth), sensitivity was 82% (70-91), specificity 77% (55-92), and accuracy 81% (71-89); with 4/5 regions, sensitivity was 56% (43-69), specificity 95% (77-100), and accuracy 67% (56-77).

Optic nerve inclusion increased sensitivity while lowering specificity. Increasing required regions in optic nerve criteria increased specificity and decreased sensitivity. Results suggest considering the optic nerve for DIS. An option of 3/5 or 4/5 regions preserved specificity, and criteria adding all three regions had highest accuracy.