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Clinical Consequences of Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Loss in Chronic Hepatitis B Infection: A Systematic Literature
Eleonora Morais1, Lauren Mason2, John Dever3
1Epidemiology, Value Evidence & Outcomes, GSK, London, UK.
Insights
Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss significantly reduces the risk of cirrhosis, liver decompensation, liver cancer, and liver-related death in chronic hepatitis B patients. Achieving HBsAg loss is crucial for better long-term outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Hepatology
- Virology
- Clinical Medicine
Background:
- Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection management aims for functional cure, defined by sustained hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss post-treatment.
- HBsAg loss is the optimal treatment endpoint for chronic HBV infection.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review and meta-analyze the association between HBsAg loss and long-term clinical outcomes in chronic HBV infection.
- To assess the impact of HBsAg loss on the incidence of cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation, hepatocellular carcinoma, and mortality.
Main Methods:
- A systematic literature review of Medline and Embase was conducted.
- Bayesian hierarchical commensurate prior meta-analyses synthesized data from 38 studies (50,354 patients) on HBsAg status and clinical outcomes.
- Outcomes included cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation (HD), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver-related mortality (LRM), and all-cause mortality (ACM).
Main Results:
- HBsAg loss was associated with significantly reduced incidence rates for HD (IRR 0.13), HCC (IRR 0.27), and LRM (IRR 0.17) compared to HBsAg persistence.
- A trend towards reduced risk was observed for cirrhosis (IRR 0.28) and all-cause mortality (IRR 0.64).
- The direction of reduced risk associated with HBsAg loss was consistent across subgroups, though the magnitude varied.
Conclusions:
- HBsAg loss is strongly associated with a reduced risk of major adverse clinical outcomes in chronic hepatitis B.
- These findings underscore the importance of developing novel strategies to achieve HBsAg loss for improved patient prognosis.
- The study validates HBsAg loss as a critical therapeutic goal in chronic HBV management.
Background And Aims:
Functional cure, which requires sustained hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss after treatment cessation, is currently the optimal treatment endpoint for chronic hepatitis B virus infection. We performed a systematic literature review (SLR) and meta-analyses to assess the association between HBsAg loss and long-term clinical outcomes.
Methods:
We performed a SLR of scientific literature published in Medline and Embase reporting the incidence of cirrhosis, hepatic decompensation (HD), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver-related mortality (LRM), and all-cause mortality (ACM) in relation to HBsAg status. Bayesian hierarchical commensurate prior meta-analyses synthesized evidence on the association between HBsAg loss and each outcome.
Results:
Thirty-eight studies, comprising 50,354 patients with 350,734 patient-years of follow-up, were included in the meta-analyses, reporting on cirrhosis (n = 12), HD (n = 12), HCC (n = 36), LRM (n = 12), and ACM (n = 16). Pooled incidence rate ratios (IRRs; vs HBsAg persistence) and respective credible intervals (Crls) were 0.28 (0.060-1.070) for cirrhosis, 0.13 (0.013-0.38) for HD, 0.27 (0.11-0.53) for HCC, 0.17 (0.028-0.61) for LRM, and 0.64 (0.24-1.17) for ACM. Single-predictor-adjusted IRRs remained consistent with those from the primary analyses for all outcomes except cirrhosis and LRM. Outcome incidence rates were modified by selected study, patient and infection characteristics, but trended in the same direction of reduced risk after loss.
Conclusion:
Overall, HBsAg loss was associated with a reduced risk of most clinically relevant outcomes. While the magnitude of the effect differed across subgroups, the direction of the association remained similar. Our results validate the need to develop new strategies to achieve HBsAg loss.
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