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Relationship Between CHA₂DS₂-VASc Score on Admission and In-Hospital Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients
Duygu Inan1, Duygu Genc1, Barış Şimsek2
1Department of Cardiology, Basaksehir Cam & Sakura City Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey.
Insights
The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score predicts major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients without atrial fibrillation. This score, along with other factors, helps estimate in-hospital risks.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Risk Prediction
Background:
- The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score is established for thromboembolism risk in atrial fibrillation.
- Its utility in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients without atrial fibrillation is less understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score's effectiveness in predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in STEMI patients.
- To identify independent predictors of MACE in this population.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of STEMI patients without atrial fibrillation.
- Assessed CHA₂DS₂-VASc score as a predictor of MACE (in-hospital death or cerebrovascular accident).
- Utilized multivariable analysis and developed a risk nomogram.
Main Results:
- MACE occurred in 10% of patients.
- CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was an independent predictor of MACE (95% CI, 2.31 [1.37-3.9]; P = .0016).
- Other predictors included heart rate, Killip class, creatinine, CK-MB, and no-reflow.
Conclusions:
- The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score is a valuable tool for predicting MACE in STEMI patients lacking atrial fibrillation.
- The study highlights the score's applicability beyond its original indication.
- A nomogram aids in estimating in-hospital adverse outcomes for STEMI patients.
Abstract:
The CHA₂DS₂-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes mellitus, stroke, vascular disease, sex) scoring system, which includes conventional risk factors of coronary artery disease, was originally created to quantify the risk of thromboembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation. This study evaluated the usefulness of this score to predict adverse outcomes in STEMI (ST-elevation myocardial infarction) patients without atrial fibrillation. Primary end points were identified as MACE (major adverse cardiovascular events) which included in-hospital death or cerebrovascular accident. MACE rate was 10% (193 patients). The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was an independent predictor of MACE (95% CI, 2.31 [1.37-3.9]; P = .0016). Other independent predictors of MACE included heart rate (95% CI, 1.56 [0.97-2.50]; P = .0242), admission Killip class (95% CI, 24.19 [10.74-54.46]; P < .0001), admission creatinine level (95% CI, 1.54 [1.10-2.16]; P = .0024), peak CK-MB level (95% CI, 1.63 [0.98-2.70]; P = .0001), and no-reflow (95% CI, 2.45 [1.25-4.80]; P = .0085). A nomogram was developed to estimate the risk of in-hospital adverse outcomes for STEMI patients. The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was an independent predictor of MACE in STEMI patients. Linear analysis of CHA₂DS₂-VASc score without dichotomization was the main difference of this study from others.
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