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Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
Social vulnerability and perioperative outcomes after colectomy for colon cancer
Erin E Isenberg1, Nicholas Kunnath2, Pasithorn A Suwanabol2
1Department of Surgery, University of Texas at Southwestern, Dallas, TX, United States; National Clinician Scholars Program, Institute for Healthcare Policy and Innovation, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States.
Background:
The Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) has previously been demonstrated to correlate with worse postoperative outcomes after surgery, but the association of SVI with short- and long-term outcomes after colon cancer surgery has been underexplored.
Methods:
This is a retrospective cross-sectional study of Medicare patients aged 65 to 99 years who underwent colectomy for colon cancer between 2016 and 2020, merged with SVI at the census tract level. We tested the association between SVI with emergent colectomy and 30-day and 1-year mortality using a multivariable logistic regression model adjusted for patient demographics and hospital characteristics.
Results:
The cohort included 169,498 patients who underwent colectomy for colon cancer. Medicare patients living in areas in the highest quintile of social vulnerability were more likely to undergo unplanned colectomy for colon cancer than those in the lowest quintile (35.6% vs 28.9%; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.36; 95% CI, 1.31-1.41; P < .001). Similarly, patients living in areas in the highest quintile of social vulnerability experienced higher risk-adjusted rates of 30-day mortality (3.4% vs 2.9%; aOR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.12-1.29; P < .001) and 1-year mortality (10.8% vs 8.6%; aOR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.22-1.37; P < .001) than patients living in the lowest quintile of social vulnerability. When evaluating the elective and unplanned cohorts separately, these differences persisted.
Conclusion:
Among Medicare patients undergoing colectomy for colon cancer, high social vulnerability was associated with an increased risk of unplanned operations and worse short- and long-term postoperative outcomes in both the emergent and elective settings. Providers should seek to mitigate disparate surgical outcomes by addressing structural inequities in social resources.
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