Preoperative prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma microvascular invasion based on magnetic resonance imaging
Jing-Yi Xu1, Yu-Fan Yang1, Zhong-Yue Huang2
1Center of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Disease, Beijing Tsinghua Changgung Hospital, School of Clinical Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing 102218, China.
Background:
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence is highly correlated with increased mortality. Microvascular invasion (MVI) is indicative of aggressive tumor biology in HCC.
Aim:
To construct an artificial neural network (ANN) capable of accurately predicting MVI presence in HCC using magnetic resonance imaging.
Methods:
This study included 255 patients with HCC with tumors < 3 cm. Radiologists annotated the tumors on the T1-weighted plain MR images. Subsequently, a three-layer ANN was constructed using image features as inputs to predict MVI status in patients with HCC. Postoperative pathological examination is considered the gold standard for determining MVI. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to evaluate the effectiveness of the algorithm.
Results:
Using the bagging strategy to vote for 50 classifier classification results, a prediction model yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.79. Moreover, correlation analysis revealed that alpha-fetoprotein values and tumor volume were not significantly correlated with the occurrence of MVI, whereas tumor sphericity was significantly correlated with MVI (P < 0.01).
Conclusion:
Analysis of variable correlations regarding MVI in tumors with diameters < 3 cm should prioritize tumor sphericity. The ANN model demonstrated strong predictive MVI for patients with HCC (AUC = 0.79).
