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Association between state minimum wage and firearm suicides in the USA, 2000-2020
Molly Merrill-Francis1, Christopher Dunphy2, Natalie Lennon2
1Division of Violence Prevention, National Center for Injury Prevention and Control, Atlanta, Georgia, USA MFrancis2@cdc.gov.
Background:
Firearm suicides constitute a major public health issue. Policies that enhance economic security and decrease community-level poverty may be effective strategies for reducing risk of firearm suicide. This study examined the association between state minimum wage and firearm suicide.
Methods:
State minimum wage, obtained from Temple's Law Atlas and augmented by legal research, was conceptualised using the modified Kaitz Index and a continuous variable centred on the federal minimum wage. State-level suicide counts were obtained from 2000 to 2020 multiple-cause-of-death mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System. Log-linear regressions were conducted to model the associations between state minimum wage and firearm suicides, stratifying by demographic groups. Analyses were conducted in 2023.
Results:
A one percentage point increase in a state's modified Kaitz Index was associated with a 0.3% (95% CI -0.6% to -0.0%) decrease in firearm suicides within a state. A US$1.00 increase in a state's minimum wage above the federal minimum wage was associated with a 1.4% (95% CI -2.1% to -0.6%) decrease in firearm suicides. When stratified by quartile of firearm ownership, the modified Kaitz Index was associated with decreases in firearm suicides most consistently in the two lowest quartiles.
Conclusion:
Increasing a state's minimum wage may be a policy option to consider as part of a comprehensive approach to reducing firearm suicides. These findings expand the evidence base for how economic policies may be leveraged to reduce firearm suicides.
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