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Updated: Jun 14, 2025

A Cross-Disciplinary and Multi-Modal Experimental Design for Studying Near-Real-Time Authentic Examination Experiences
Published on: September 4, 2019
Extreme events, educational aspirations, and long-term outcomes.
René Iwo1,2, Elizabeth Frankenberg1,2, Cecep Sumantri3
1Department of Sociology, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
The 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami temporarily lowered educational aspirations in Aceh, Indonesia. However, 15 years later, family background and individual aspirations, not disaster exposure, determined educational attainment, showing survivor resilience.
Area of Science:
- Disaster recovery studies
- Human capital development
- Sociology of education
Background:
- The 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami devastated Aceh, Indonesia, causing widespread destruction and loss of life.
- Understanding the long-term impact of such disasters on education is crucial for human capital development.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine the impact of disaster exposure on educational aspirations and attainment.
- To assess the resilience of educational trajectories following a major natural disaster.
Main Methods:
- Utilized longitudinal data from the Study of the Tsunami Aftermath and Recovery (STAR).
- Analyzed the relationship between disaster exposure, community damage, and educational outcomes.
- Investigated the influence of socioeconomic factors and parental education on long-term attainment.
Main Results:
- Community damage led to short-term decreases in educational aspirations, which diminished over time.
- Fifteen years post-tsunami, factors like children's aspirations, parental education, and family socioeconomic status were stronger predictors of high school and tertiary completion than disaster exposure.
- The findings highlight significant resilience among tsunami survivors.
Conclusions:
- While initial disaster impact can depress educational aspirations, long-term attainment is more influenced by individual and family factors.
- Successful post-disaster reconstruction efforts may play a role in mitigating long-term educational disruptions.
- The study underscores the remarkable resilience of communities in the face of catastrophic natural disasters.
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