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Fertility Intentions in Rural Malawi After Cyclone Idai
Monica J Grant1, Katherine J Curtis1
1University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA.
Population and Environment
|December 15, 2025
Summary
Extreme weather events increase household uncertainty, influencing fertility intentions. In rural Malawi, many parents plan longer birth intervals due to environmental instability and future concerns.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Sociology
- Demography
Background:
- Extreme weather events disrupt households, causing financial, marital, and housing instability.
- Environmental disruptions can heighten household uncertainty, impacting long-term planning.
- Fertility intentions are influenced by socioeconomic and environmental factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the role of environmental uncertainty in shaping fertility intentions.
- To explore motivations behind fertility intentions following extreme weather events.
- To advance theory on the relationship between environmental forces and fertility.
Main Methods:
- Qualitative study using in-depth interviews.
- Data collected in rural Malawi in July 2019, post-Cyclone Idai.
- Analysis of narratives on reproductive plans and inter-birth intervals.
Main Results:
- Majority of parents with children planned to wait at least four years for another child.
- Identified a typology of respondents preferring long inter-birth intervals.
- Motivations for birth spacing included traditional practices and uncertainty about future stability.
Conclusions:
- Environmental uncertainty significantly shapes fertility intentions.
- Future stability and resource availability are key considerations in reproductive decisions.
- Findings contribute to understanding human fertility responses to environmental change.
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