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Affinity-Driven Transfer Learning for Load Forecasting.
Ahmed Rebei1, Manar Amayri1, Nizar Bouguila1
1Concordia Institute for Information Systems Engineering, Montreal, QC H3G1M8, Canada.
Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
|September 14, 2024
Summary
This study introduces a task affinity score for transfer learning, improving load forecasting accuracy. The Affinity-Driven Transfer Learning (ADTL) algorithm enhances predictions for new datasets.
Area of Science:
- Artificial Intelligence
- Machine Learning
- Energy Systems
Background:
- Accurate load forecasting is crucial for efficient energy management.
- Traditional transfer learning methods face challenges in selecting appropriate source tasks.
- Measuring task similarity is key to effective knowledge transfer in forecasting.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce a novel task affinity score for quantifying task similarity in transfer learning.
- To develop the Affinity-Driven Transfer Learning (ADTL) algorithm for enhanced load forecasting.
- To demonstrate the superiority of the task affinity score over existing metrics.
Main Methods:
- Developed a task affinity score to measure similarity between diverse tasks.
- Proposed the Affinity-Driven Transfer Learning (ADTL) algorithm integrating pre-trained models and datasets.
- Validated the approach using synthetic, AEMO, and Smart Australian energy datasets.
Main Results:
- The task affinity score outperformed traditional metrics in task selection.
- The ADTL algorithm significantly improved load forecasting accuracy on unseen datasets.
- Empirical validation confirmed the robustness and effectiveness of the proposed method.
Conclusions:
- The task affinity score is a powerful tool for refining transfer learning in load forecasting.
- The ADTL algorithm offers a robust framework for accurate energy load predictions.
- This research advances the application of transfer learning in the energy sector.


