Synergies quantification and evolution on air pollutant and CO₂ emissions driven by different socio-economic effects

Realizing a synergistic reduction of air pollutant and CO₂ emissions (APCE) is an important approach to promote a green socio-economic transformation in China, and it can provide a solid foundation for the achievement of clean energy production and climate action under a sustainable development goal framework. The objective of this study is to explore the quantitative relationship and evolution of synergies between APCE in industrial sectors driven by different socio-economic effects from 2007 to 2020 in China. The results indicated that the main sectors of pollutant emissions had consistency, however, large differences in the reduction efficiency of emissions exist among pollutants. The efficiency in reducing CO₂ emissions was about 48% lower when compared with reductions of SO₂ (95%), NO_x (86%), and smoke and dust (83%) emissions from 2007 to 2020. The effects of improved technology were the main contributor to a reduction in pollutant emissions, but the synergies between APCE driving by it were not achieved. While the synergies between APCE driven by structure and final demand effects were significant. The synergies between NO_x and CO₂ emissions were stronger driven by final demand structure and type effects, with correlation coefficients of 1.06 and 1.13, respectively. Besides, the degree of synergistic reduction between APCE in most industrial sectors was around zero. Therefore, the efficiency of synergistic pollution reduction should be improved with the development of a synergistic governance system for industrial sectors. The structural decomposition analysis based on input-output model combined with the cross-elasticity analysis method to quantitively synergies between APCE from the consumption (demand) perspective, considering the connections between industrial sectors with socio-economic developing, which would contribute to the industrial synergistic reduction and green transformation as the consumption driven gradually increasing.