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Updated: Jun 12, 2025

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
New insights into the combined effect of dispersal and local dynamics in a two-patch population model
Daniel Franco1, Juan Perán1, Juan Segura2
1Department of Applied Mathematics, E.T.S.I. Industriales, Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (UNED), c/ Juan del Rosal 12, Madrid, 28040, Spain.
Abstract:
Understanding the effect of dispersal on fragmented populations has drawn the attention of ecologists and managers in recent years, and great efforts have been made to understand the impact of dispersal on the total population size. All previous numerical and theoretical findings determined that the possible response scenarios of the overall population size to increasing dispersal are monotonic or hump-shaped, which has become a common assumption in ecology. Against this, we show in this paper that many other response scenarios are possible by using a simple two-patch discrete-time model. This fact evidences the interplay of local dynamics and dispersal and has significant consequences from a management perspective that will be discussed.
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