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Forecasting and Predicting Stochastic Agent-Based Model Data with Biologically-Informed Neural Networks.

John T Nardini1

  • 1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, The College of New Jersey, Ewing, NJ, 08628, USA. nardinij@tcnj.edu.

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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Biologically-informed neural networks (BINNs) create interpretable differential equation (DE) models to accurately predict agent-based model (ABM) collective migration. This approach forecasts new data and explores uncharted parameter spaces efficiently.

Keywords:
Agent-based modelingData-driven modelingDifferential equationsMachine learning

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Area of Science:

  • Computational Biology
  • Mathematical Modeling
  • Artificial Intelligence

Background:

  • Collective cell migration is crucial for biological processes like wound healing and development.
  • Agent-based models (ABMs) simulate collective migration but are computationally intensive and difficult to parameterize.
  • Mean-field differential equation (DE) models offer faster simulations but can inaccurately represent ABM behavior in certain parameter spaces.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a method using biologically-informed neural networks (BINNs) to create accurate and interpretable DE models for collective migration.
  • To enable the prediction of ABM behavior in both unseen data and unexplored parameter regions.
  • To enhance the efficiency of parameter space exploration for ABMs.

Main Methods:

  • Training biologically-informed neural networks (BINNs) to learn interpretable differential equation (DE) models from ABM data.
  • Utilizing BINN-guided partial differential equation (PDE) simulations for forecasting future ABM data.
  • Combining BINN-guided PDE simulations with multivariate interpolation to predict ABM behavior at new parameter values.
  • Validating the approach with three distinct ABMs of collective migration.

Main Results:

  • BINN-guided PDE simulations accurately forecast spatial ABM data not encountered during training.
  • The method successfully predicts ABM behavior in previously unexplored parameter ranges.
  • A single-compartment BINN-guided PDE accurately captured ABM dynamics where traditional mean-field models were ill-posed or required multiple compartments.
  • The approach demonstrated efficiency in exploring parameter space.

Conclusions:

  • Biologically-informed neural networks (BINNs) provide a powerful framework for developing accurate and interpretable DE models from ABMs.
  • This BINN-guided PDE approach significantly enhances the ability to forecast and predict collective migration dynamics across parameter spaces.
  • The methodology facilitates efficient exploration of ABM parameter spaces, opening avenues for data-driven tasks like parameter estimation from experimental data.