Two Peaks of Seasonal Influenza Epidemics - China, 2023

Influenza is a communicable respiratory disease that causes annual epidemics and occasional unpredictable pandemics. This study examines the occurrence of two unexpected influenza peaks within the year 2023.

Influenza-like illness (ILI) data were reported, and specimens of ILI were collected by designated surveillance hospitals. Positive cases were confirmed using real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) testing conducted at national surveillance network laboratories. The data were then submitted to the Chinese Influenza Surveillance Information System.

From December 2022 to January 2023, influenza activity was minimal until a spring epidemic began in February, peaking in late March. The outbreak spread from the north to the south, with A(H1N1)pdm09 being the predominant strain and A(H3N2) also circulating concurrently. The positivity rate in northern and southern provincial-level administrative divisions (PLADs) reached 60.0% (week 10) and 60.2% (week 13), respectively, before dropping to below 5% from May to August. Subsequently, rates surged starting in week 41 in the south and week 44 in the north, peaking at 54.4% (week 50) and 44.0% (week 49), respectively, and remained high until the end of 2023. A(H3N2) became the prevailing strain, with a notable increase in B/Victoria lineage viruses from December, resulting in two peaks during the 2023 influenza season.

The pattern of the influenza epidemic shifted due to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak and is gradually returning to its usual seasonal and intensity patterns. It is, therefore, crucial to continuously strengthen influenza surveillance, enhance the influenza surveillance network, and lay the groundwork for advancing integrated surveillance of multiple pathogens in China.