Association between serum cotinine and total testosterone in adult males based on NHANES 2011-2016

The relationship between smoking and testosterone levels in adult males remains a topic of ongoing debate. Serum cotinine is considered a reliable marker of both smoking intensity and exposure to tobacco smoke. Therefore, we aim to examine the association between serum cotinine levels and total testosterone concentrations in adult males using data from the U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database. Our study assessed the relationship between serum cotinine and total testosterone using weighted linear regression models and subgroup analysis. A fully adjusted model with smooth curve fitting was employed to investigate the potential nonlinear association between serum cotinine and total testosterone. Threshold effects were analyzed to identify the inflection point between serum cotinine and total testosterone. Indeed, a total of 7797 participants were included in our study. After adjusting for potential confounding variables, the findings indicate a positive association between serum cotinine levels and total testosterone levels (β: 0.05, 95%CI: 0.02, 0.09). Furthermore, applying smoothed curve fitting analysis and threshold effects, an inflection point was detected at a serum cotinine level of 487 ng/ml. Above this threshold, total testosterone levels declined with increasing serum cotinine levels. In conclusion, the findings of our study suggest a positive association between elevated serum cotinine levels and total testosterone levels in adult men. However, it is essential to note that this association may be reversed at excessively high serum cotinine concentrations.