A radiomics model for predicting perineural invasion in stage II-III colon cancer based on computer tomography

Colon cancer, a frequently encountered malignancy, exhibits a comparatively poor survival prognosis. Perineural invasion (PNI), highly correlated with tumor progression and metastasis, is a substantial effective predictor of stage II-III colon cancer. Nonetheless, the lack of effective and facile predictive methodologies for detecting PNI prior operation in colon cancer remains a persistent challenge.

Pre-operative computer tomography (CT) images and clinical data of patients diagnosed with stage II-III colon cancer between January 2015 and December 2023 were obtained from two sub-districts of Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital (SYSUMH). The LASSO/RF/PCA filters were used to screen radiomics features and LR/SVM models were utilized to construct radiomics model. A comprehensive model, shown as nomogram finally, combining with radiomics score and significant clinical features were developed and validated by area under the curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA).

The total cohort, comprising 426 individuals, was randomly divided into a development cohort and a validation cohort as a 7:3 ratio. Radiomics scores were extracted from LASSO-SVM models with AUC of 0.898/0.726 in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. Significant clinical features (CA199, CA125, T-stage, and N-stage) were used to establish combining model with radiomics scores. The combined model exhibited superior reliability compared to single radiomics model in AUC value (0.792 vs. 0.726, p = 0.003) in validation cohorts. The radiomics-clinical model demonstrated an AUC of 0.918/0.792, a sensitivity of 0.907/0.813 and a specificity of 0.804/0.716 in the development and validation cohorts, respectively.

The study developed and validated a predictive nomogram model combining radiomics scores and clinical features, and showed good performance in predicting PNI pre-operation in stage II-III colon cancer patients.