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Trends in Sudden Unexpected Deaths in an Australian Population: Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic
James Healy1, Andrew M Youssef2, Sonia Sawant1
1Department of Cardiology, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Insights
Cardiovascular deaths, including sudden arrhythmic death syndrome, significantly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic years (2021-2022) compared to pre-pandemic levels. This rise in cardiac deaths may be linked to COVID-19 infection or pandemic-related lifestyle changes.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Forensic Pathology
Background:
- COVID-19 (Coronavirus disease 2019) has been linked to increased cardiovascular (CV) morbidity and mortality.
- Adverse CV outcomes are noted within 30 days and up to 12 months post-infection.
- Sudden unexpected death is a critical concern within this context.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate temporal trends in sudden unexpected deaths between 2018 and 2022.
- To specifically analyze the changes in cardiovascular deaths during this period.
- To assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cardiac mortality patterns.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 9,330 autopsy reports from the New South Wales Coroners Court (Australia).
- Inclusion of unexplained deaths occurring between 2018 and 2022.
- Statistical analysis using chi-square tests, Bonferroni correction, and ANOVA for multiple comparisons.
Main Results:
- A significant increase in cardiovascular deaths was observed from 2020 onwards, rising from 17.5% in 2020 to 23.4% in 2022 (p=0.0002).
- Deaths due to sudden arrhythmic death syndrome (SADS) more than doubled from 2020 (5.3%) to 2022 (19.4%) (p=0.0001).
- The average age of SADS deaths (42.8 years) was significantly younger than atherosclerosis deaths (56.2 years) (p<0.001), with males comprising 76% of all CV deaths.
Conclusions:
- A notable increase in cardiovascular deaths occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia, correlating with rising case numbers.
- Potential contributing factors include direct effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection, lifestyle changes, and disrupted access to routine cardiac care.
- The findings highlight the substantial cardiovascular burden associated with the pandemic.
Background & Aim:
SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with increased cardiovascular (CV) morbidity and mortality, manifesting as increased adverse outcomes in the first 30 days, extending to 12 months. This study aimed to investigate trends in sudden unexpected deaths between 2018 and 2022, with a focus on CV deaths.
Method:
A retrospective analysis was performed on autopsy reports (n=9,330) obtained from New South Wales Coroners Court, Australia, specifically targeting cases of unexplained deaths that occurred between 2018 and 2022. Statistical analysis was conducted using chi-square tests and a post hoc analysis with Bonferroni correction, as well as analysis of variance with multiple comparisons.
Results:
There were 349 (18.3%) CV deaths in 2018, 346 (18.0%) in 2019, 338 (17.5%) in 2020, 395 (21.9%) in 2021, and (23.4%) 413 in 2022 (p=0.0002). Among CV deaths, the number of deaths from sudden arrhythmic death syndrome were 25 (7.2%) in 2018, 26 (7.5%) in 2019, 18 (5.3%) in 2020, 52 (13.2%) in 2021, and 80 (19.4%) in 2022 (p=0.0001). Atherosclerosis was the most common cause of death among all CV categories; there were 196 (56.2%) atherosclerosis deaths in 2018, 207 (59.8%) in 2019, 192 (56.8%) in 2020, 221 (56.0%) in 2021, and 197 (47.7%) in 2022 (p=0.43). The average age of death from sudden arrhythmic death syndrome (42.8±19.1 years) across 2018-2022 was younger than atherosclerosis (56.2±12.4 years) and total groups (53.1±15.1 years) (p<0.001). Males comprised 76% of all CV deaths from 2018 to 2022 (p<0.0001).
Conclusions:
Compared with pre-pandemic data, a noteworthy increase in CV deaths was observed in occurrence with the escalation in COVID-19 cases in Australia. This may be attributed to direct or indirect factors, such as lifestyle modifications, disrupted access to routine cardiac care, or COVID-19 infection-triggered CV deaths.
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