Incremental Value of Radiomics Features of Epicardial Adipose Tissue for Detecting the Severity of COVID-19 Infection

Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) is known for its pro-inflammatory properties and association with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity. However, existing detection methods for COVID-19 severity assessment often lack consideration of organs and tissues other than the lungs, which limits the accuracy and reliability of these predictive models.

The retrospective study included data from 515 COVID-19 patients (Cohort 1, n=415; Cohort 2, n=100) from two centers (Shanghai Public Health Center and Brazil Niteroi Hospital) between January 2020 and July 2020. Firstly, a three-stage EAT segmentation method was proposed by combining object detection and segmentation networks. Lung and EAT radiomics features were then extracted, and feature selection was performed. Finally, a hybrid model, based on seven machine learning models, was built for detecting COVID-19 severity. The hybrid model's performance and uncertainty were evaluated in both internal and external validation cohorts.

For EAT extraction, the Dice similarity coefficients (DSC) of the two centers were 0.972 (±0.011) and 0.968 (±0.005), respectively. For severity detection, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) of the hybrid model increased by 0.09 (p<0.001), 19.3 % (p<0.05), and 18.0 % (p<0.05) in the internal validation cohort, and by 0.06 (p<0.001), 18.0 % (p<0.05) and 18.0 % (p<0.05) in the external validation cohort, respectively. Uncertainty and radiomics features analysis confirmed the interpretability of increased certainty in case prediction after inclusion of EAT features.

This study proposed a novel three-stage EAT extraction method. We demonstrated that adding EAT radiomics features to a COVID-19 severity detection model results in increased accuracy and reduced uncertainty. The value of these features was also confirmed through feature importance ranking and visualization.