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Updated: Jun 9, 2025

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
The need to reconfigure consistency and variability to best manage changing flood risks in Aotearoa-New Zealand
Silvia Serrao-Neumann1, Iain White1, Samuel M Dean2
1Te Kura Aronui School of Social Sciences, University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand.
Abstract:
Flooding is Aotearoa-New Zealand's most frequent natural hazard, and there is high confidence that climate change is making extreme rainfall events more frequent and intense. Additionally, there are significant development pressures which could both increase the number of people and assets at risk and the flood hazard. To date, there is no publicly available consistent approach to accurately determine flood risk on a national scale, nor for how this may be changing; although there is a growing legislative requirement to provide quality information over multiple spatial scales. This paper draws on empirical data to gain insights on how to best manage changing flood risks in Aotearoa-New Zealand from the perspective of centrally organised entities. Findings confirm the need for a nationally consistent approach to flood risk management, better understanding of Aotearoa's communities and their vulnerability to floods, equitable access to quality information and decision-support tools, and better understanding of the economic impacts on differing communities, regions and places. The paper concludes that to achieve a flood-resilient Aotearoa, flood governance needs to be reconfigured to achieve national consistency in flood risk management whilst enabling targeted variability at the local scale.
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