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Updated: Jun 9, 2025

An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
Published on: September 16, 2022
Developing a streamlined risk-adjusted cesarean section rate model for evaluation of obstetrical quality across
Da Zhou1, Wanting Zhong2, Qiu Sun3
1Huazhong University of Science and Technology, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Wuhan, China.
Objective:
This study aims to explore a streamlined risk-adjusted cesarean section rate (RCSR) model and to compare its practical application effects with the traditional RCSR models.
Methods:
Utilizing obstetric electronic health record (EHR) data from provincial multicenter hospitals, this study establishes a streamlined RCSR model alongside the traditional RCSR model and evaluates the efficacy of both models. Subsequently, the RCSRs of 56 hospitals within the province are calculated and ranked using both models. The consistency of these rankings is then quantified using Kendall's tau coefficient of concordance.
Result:
Comparison of model effectiveness evaluation of the traditional RCSR model versus the streamlined RCSR model is as follows: AUC (0.840 vs 0.839), accuracy (0.875 vs 0.872), sensitivity (0.690 vs 0.685), specificity (0.898 vs 0.892), positive predictive value (0.908 vs 0.903), negative predictive value (0.664 vs 0.660), and Brier score (0.069 vs 0.067). In the test of the consistency of hospital rankings based on two models, Kendall's tau coefficients were observed to be 0.979 (year 2017), 0.978 (year 2018), and 0.978 (year 2019) over a span of 3 years, with an aggregate coefficient of 0.974.
Conclusion:
In the realm of model performance evaluation as well as the pragmatic application within hospital settings, the streamlined model exhibits a substantial congruence with the traditional model. Therefore, the streamlined model can effectively serve as a viable surrogate for the traditional model, potentially establishing itself as a refined paradigm for the appraisal of quality in obstetric healthcare services.
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